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Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
5 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
43.96%25.3%30.74%
Both teams to score 55.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44%70.56%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69%55.31%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6%29.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61%65.38%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.96%
    Bristol Rovers 30.74%
    Draw 25.29%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.92%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
74.6%
Draw
18.6%
Bristol Rovers
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Exeter
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Forte (50'), Randall (81')
Abrahams (90')

Menayese (35')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Exeter
Bodin (13'), Brown (45'), Taylor (69')
Lockyer (72'), Brown (78')
Taylor (48')
Brown (45'), Stockley (73')
Nov 28, 2015 3pm
Exeter
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Reid (94')
Moore-Taylor (64')
Sinclair (83')
Taylor (64'), Clarke (79')
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Exeter
O'Toole (21' pen., 90' pen.)
Harrison (68'), O'Toole (90')
Brown (20' og.)
rhs 2.0
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