MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:16:12| >> :600:1186396:1186396:
Lincoln City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Mandroiu (8'), Draper (84')
Poole (78'), Mandroiu (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Newcastle U21s
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
63.77% (0.311 0.31) 20.08% (0.168 0.17) 16.14% (-0.483 -0.48)
Both teams to score 53.93% (-1.696 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-1.7 -1.7)41.1% (1.699 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-1.754 -1.75)63.5% (1.751 1.75)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)12.23% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.07% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)37.92% (0.894 0.89)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.63 -1.63)38.54% (1.628 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.589 -1.59)75.29% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 63.76%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 16.14%
    Draw 20.08%
Lincoln CityDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.452 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.593 0.59)
3-0 @ 7.29% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 63.76%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.355 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.14%

rhs 2.0
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