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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
84.59% ( 0.84) | 9.44% ( -0.47) | 5.97% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 59.91% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.94% ( 1.07) | 17.06% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.22% ( 1.59) | 33.78% ( -1.59) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.18% ( 0.27) | 2.82% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.12% ( 0.95) | 12.88% ( -0.95) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% ( 0.11) | 38.36% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% ( 0.1) | 75.11% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 7% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 5% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.19) 6-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.18) 5-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.1) 7-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.13) 7-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.13) 6-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.51% Total : 84.59% | 1-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.44% | 1-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 5.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |