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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.84% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (4.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
63.26% ( 0.03) | 17.89% ( -0.01) | 18.84% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 68.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.67% ( -0.01) | 25.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.65% ( -0.01) | 45.34% ( 0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.15% ( 0) | 7.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.81% ( -0.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.02) | 25.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.03) | 60.79% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.89% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |