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AZ Alkmaar
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
AZ Alkmaar

Sparta
1 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Sparta have struggled for goals of late, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. That said, we are backing AZ Alkmaar to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
32.15% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 24.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 43.28% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.6% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.58% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.115 0.12)53.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 32.15%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.28%
    Draw 24.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.28%

How you voted: Sparta vs AZ

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
2-0
Sparta
De Wit (18'), Pavlidis (19')

Verschueren (38'), Bakari (43'), van der Kust (81')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
0-1
Sparta
Lauritsen (45+1')
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Van Crooij (90+3')
Pavlidis (48')
Dec 5, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
AZ
3-1
Sparta
Karlsson (27' pen., 31'), Pavlidis (58')
Pavlidis (45')
Auassar (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente30186656302660
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax3013986356748
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City30712113048-1833
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30510154464-2025
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
18Vitesse3045212268-4617


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