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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
88.22% (![]() | 7.93% (![]() | 3.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.84% (![]() | 20.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.67% (![]() | 38.33% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.15% (![]() | 2.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.99% (![]() | 13.01% (![]() |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.84% (![]() | 49.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.93% (![]() | 84.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
3-0 @ 10.52% (![]() 4-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 4.85% Total : 88.22% | 1-1 @ 3.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 7.93% | 1-2 @ 1.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.6% Total : 3.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |