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Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

PSV
4 - 2
Sparta

Bakari (19'), Bakayoko (26'), Boscagli (67'), Teze (78')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Metinho (8'), Boscagli (29' og.)
Lauritsen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam. Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
78.96% (-0.283 -0.28) 12.73% (0.27 0.27) 8.32% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-1.333 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.22% (-1.483 -1.48)25.78% (1.486 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.07% (-1.938 -1.94)45.93% (1.941 1.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.86% (-0.333 -0.33)5.14% (0.3361 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.6% (-1.006 -1.01)20.4% (1.008 1.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-1.192 -1.19)40.58% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-1.093 -1.09)77.17% (1.095 1.1)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 78.96%
    Sparta Rotterdam 8.32%
    Draw 12.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.47 0.47)
3-0 @ 9.09% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 8.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.447 0.45)
4-1 @ 6.08% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.61% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-0 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 78.96%
1-1 @ 5.58% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.09% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.73%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 8.32%

How you voted: PSV vs Sparta

PSV Eindhoven
92.0%
Draw
4.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sparta
0-4
PSV

de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), De Jong (88')
Dest (90')
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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