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Europa League
Sporting Lisbon
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Arsenal logo

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Arsenal

Inacio (34'), Paulinho (55')
Coates (22'), Morita (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saliba (22'), Morita (62' og.)
Zinchenko (23'), Martinelli (43')

The Match

Match Report

A freak own goal saves Arsenal's bacon as the Gunners rescue a 2-2 draw in the first leg of their Europa League last-16 tie against Sporting Lisbon.

Team News

Jakub Kiwior is named in the starting lineup for Arsenal's Europa League last-16 first leg with Sporting Lisbon, as Mikel Arteta makes six changes in total.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Thursday's Europa League last-16 first leg against Sporting Lisbon.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League last-16 first leg with Sporting Lisbon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arsenal

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawArsenal
34.66% (0.159 0.16) 25.39% (0.00099999999999767 0) 39.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.68% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.88% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.10199999999999 0.1)26.54% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (0.137 0.14)61.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)23.63% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.107 -0.11)57.72% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 34.66%
    Arsenal 39.94%
    Draw 25.39%
Sporting LisbonDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.94%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal

Sporting Lisbon
15.4%
Draw
15.1%
Arsenal
69.5%
518
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2018 8pm
Group E
Arsenal
0-0
Sporting Lisbon
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
Group E
Sporting Lisbon
0-1
Arsenal
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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