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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Newcastle logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Newcastle

Szmodics (79')
Moran (18'), Chrisene (110'), Ayari (118')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (71')
Lascelles (103'), Longstaff (120+1')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United edge out Blackburn Rovers on penalties following a 1-1 draw to advance to the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
34.44% (3.078 3.08) 22.74% (0.2 0.2) 42.81% (-3.282 -3.28)
Both teams to score 65.74% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.191 0.19)35.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.21299999999999 0.21)57.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (1.753 1.75)20.78% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (2.686 2.69)53.42% (-2.692 -2.69)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-1.178 -1.18)17.01% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-2.123 -2.12)47.14% (2.117 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 34.44%
    Newcastle United 42.81%
    Draw 22.74%
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.427 0.43)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.515 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Newcastle

Blackburn Rovers
18.3%
Draw
13.9%
Newcastle United
67.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.30pm
Second Round
Newcastle
1-0
Blackburn
Fraser (35')
> Match Report
Jan 15, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Blackburn
2-4
Newcastle
Armstrong (33'), Lenihan (45')
Longstaff (1'), Roberts (22'), Joselu (105'), Perez (106')
Fernandez (90')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2019 5.30pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-1
Blackburn
Ritchie (84' pen.)
Ritchie (90')
Dack (56')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
1-0
Newcastle
Mulgrew (74')
Lowe (53')

Dummett (64'), Colback (73')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
0-1
Blackburn

Hayden (83')
Mulgrew (75')
Conway (24'), Lowe (68'), Marshall (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


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