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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Dozzell (77')
Laird (64'), Dembele (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrett (49'), Hyam (52'), Tronstad (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham will be happy to be back at St Andrew's following three-straight losses on the road, and Blues should be able to end their barren spell in front of the net. Eustace will be desperate to get one over his former club on Tuesday night, but we believe that Blackburn will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.62% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.15% (0.073 0.07) 34.22% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-0.307 -0.31)42.06% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.308 -0.31)64.47% (0.31 0.31)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.238 -0.24)20.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.38 -0.38)52.81% (0.382 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 41.62%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.22%
    Draw 24.15%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
41.3%
Draw
32.6%
Blackburn Rovers
26.1%
92
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
4-2
Birmingham
Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Trusty (100' og.)
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blackburn
2-1
Birmingham
Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Hogan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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