Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hayes & Yeading win with a probability of 62.25%. A win for Epsom & Ewell FC had a probability of 19.58% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hayes & Yeading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Epsom & Ewell FC win was 2-1 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hayes & Yeading would win this match.