Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sherborne Town win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Fareham Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sherborne Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.51%) and 0-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Fareham Town win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.