Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sittingbourne win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Farnham Town had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sittingbourne win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.91%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Farnham Town win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sittingbourne would win this match.