Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berkhamsted win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Little Oakley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Berkhamsted win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Little Oakley win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Berkhamsted would win this match.
1.11) 
-0.12) 
