FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Forest Town Stadium
AFC Mansfield1 - 3Carlton Town
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between AFC Mansfield and Carlton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlton Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for AFC Mansfield had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an AFC Mansfield win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Mansfield | Draw | Carlton Town |
13.2% ( -0.47) | 15.84% ( -0.4) | 70.96% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
