MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 11:36:32| >> :600:718150:718150:
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium
Wigan logo

York City
0 - 1
Wigan


Stockdale (70'), Fallowfield (79'), Woodyard (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Humphrys (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between York City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 York City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: York City 1-3 Wigan Athletic

York will need to be clinical when presented with chances in the final third and show their resilience at the back if they wish to pull off an upset and excite the home crowd for Friday's televised fixture. However, success against an in-form Wigan outfit could prove challenging and the visitors should ultimately have the edge in all departments, even if a few star names are rested, to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for York City had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.

Result
York CityDrawWigan Athletic
24.06% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 50.82% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)51.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)36.49% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)73.28% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)20.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.91% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    York City 24.06%
    Wigan Athletic 50.82%
    Draw 25.12%
York CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.4% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: York City vs Wigan

York City
13.8%
Draw
17.2%
Wigan Athletic
69.0%
29
rhs 2.0
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