MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:47:37| >> :60:1057:1057:
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Club Friendlies
Aug 13, 2023 at 9.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
4 - 2
Novara

Chukwueze (9'), Okafor (15'), Calabria (55'), Colombo (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Corti (31'), Prinelli (82')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between AC Milan and Novara.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Trento
Wednesday, August 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Next Game: Bologna vs. AC Milan
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Novara

Last Game: V. Francavilla 2-1 Novara
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Novara had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Novara win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawNovara
70.32% (-1.347 -1.35) 17.3% (0.512 0.51) 12.38% (0.841 0.84)
Both teams to score 53.64% (0.939 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-0.174 -0.17)36.49% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-0.19 -0.19)58.63% (0.196 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)9.27% (0.3571 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (-0.849 -0.85)31.32% (0.853 0.85)
Novara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (1.261 1.26)40.88% (-1.258 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (1.109 1.11)77.45% (-1.104 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.31%
    Novara 12.38%
    Draw 17.3%
AC MilanDrawNovara
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.5% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.05% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.096 0.1)
5-0 @ 2.4% (-0.181 -0.18)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.31%
1-1 @ 8.06% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.189 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.214 0.21)
0-1 @ 3.39% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.52% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.38%

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