MX23RW : Monday, September 16 18:53:13| >> :60:194:194:
Napoli logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Brest logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Brest

Raspadori (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Napoli and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-0 Egnatia Rrogozhine
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Laval
Wednesday, July 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Napoli 3-1 Brest

Napoli have been ruthless in pre-season, while Brest have struggled for consistency, and this is why we are backing Conte's men to be victorious once again at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawBrest
60% (0.218 0.22) 21.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 18.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)43.1% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)65.5% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (0.036000000000001 0.04)13.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.55% (0.072000000000003 0.07)41.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-0.247 -0.25)36.92% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.247 -0.25)73.71% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 59.99%
    Brest 18.55%
    Draw 21.45%
NapoliDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.99%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.45%
0-1 @ 5.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Napoli vs Brest

Napoli
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Brest
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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