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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Lecce

While you are inclined to back Napoli to record maximum points on their last game of a wretched year, this side have stunk for much of this season, winning just one in 10 in Serie A. Without a clean sheet since February and winless on home turf since early March, Lecce securing a point in Naples is a strong possibility on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
58.43% (0.169 0.17) 22.2% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 19.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.097999999999999 0.1)45.19% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.091000000000001 0.09)67.54% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.086999999999989 0.09)15.15% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (0.168 0.17)43.74% (-0.172 -0.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.064 -0.06)37.27% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.061 -0.06)74.05% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 58.42%
    Lecce 19.36%
    Draw 22.2%
NapoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
57.5%
Draw
30.1%
Lecce
12.3%
73
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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