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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Villarreal logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Villarreal

Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Lamela (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (55')
Foyth (70'), Mandi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 2-2 Villarreal

Sevilla put so much into their contest with Man United that it is only natural to expect a drop-off in terms of their performance in this match. Villarreal will be confident of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and we are backing the points to be shared in an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
39.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 39.74%
    Villarreal 35.43%
    Draw 24.82%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.74%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.43%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
53.1%
Draw
27.6%
Villarreal
19.4%
98
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Baena (51')
Torres (8')
Bono (26')
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
Dec 29, 2020 4pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (8' pen.), En-Nesyri (53')
Fernando (39')

Foyth (7'), Trigueros (76'), Parejo (88'), Bacca (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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