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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Sevilla logo

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla


Duro (85')
Moriba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
46.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.11% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.313 0.31)53.53% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.264 0.26)75.05% (-0.265 -0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.128 0.13)22.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.187 0.19)56.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.233 0.23)34.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.247 0.25)71.38% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 46.68%
    Sevilla 27.21%
    Draw 26.1%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia
29.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sevilla
37.7%
69
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Fourth Round
Sevilla
3-0
Valencia
De Jong (20', 33'), Rakitic (38')
Acuna (62'), Vidal (80'), El Haddadi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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