Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Barcelona has a probability of 21.49% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.08%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Barcelona win is 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.33%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
57.65% ( -0.86) | 20.86% ( 0.46) | 21.49% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 61.42% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.99% ( -1.66) | 36.01% ( 1.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.89% ( -1.84) | 58.11% ( 1.85) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% ( -0.76) | 12.37% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.77% ( -1.62) | 38.23% ( 1.62) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( -0.59) | 29.91% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% ( -0.72) | 66.01% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.22% Total : 57.65% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 21.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 24 |
2 | Real Madrid | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Osasuna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
7 | Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
11 | GironaGirona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
12 | Sevilla | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Espanyol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
15 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
16 | Getafe | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
17 | Leganes | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |