Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
41.53% ( -0.08) | 26.43% ( -0.04) | 32.04% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% ( 0.2) | 52.7% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% ( 0.18) | 74.34% ( -0.17) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( 0.05) | 25.06% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( 0.07) | 59.74% ( -0.07) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.19) | 30.66% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% ( 0.22) | 66.91% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |