Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
33.2% ( 0) | 26.62% ( -0.01) | 40.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.18% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.03) | 74.74% ( -0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( 0.02) | 30.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.02) | 66.27% ( -0.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% ( 0.02) | 25.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% ( 0.03) | 61.01% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |