We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia
Valencia are struggling to pick up wins at the moment, but the same cannot be said for Athletic, who will now have sixth-placed Real Sociedad in their sights. Valencia are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are backing Athletic to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.