Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-1 Blackpool
Derby remain without a number of first-team players, but the Rams still have a lot of quality in their team, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Friday afternoon, with Blackpool likely to suffer if they are unable to call upon leading goalscorer Rhodes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Blackpool |
50.48% ( 0.2) | 25.73% ( -0.05) | 23.79% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.08) | 54.55% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.06) | 75.9% ( -0.06) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.11) | 21.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.23% ( 0.18) | 54.77% ( -0.18) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.09) | 38.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0.09) | 74.93% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.79% |
