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League One
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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Blackpool

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Adams (40')
Sibley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (33'), Critchley (34'), Coulson (60'), Norburn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Derby County and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Blackpool

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Blackpool

 Derby remain without a number of first-team players, but the Rams still have a lot of quality in their team, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Friday afternoon, with Blackpool likely to suffer if they are unable to call upon leading goalscorer Rhodes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
50.48% (0.196 0.2) 25.73% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 23.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)54.55% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.061 0.06)75.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)21.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.177 0.18)54.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)38.17% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)74.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 50.48%
    Blackpool 23.79%
    Draw 25.73%
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackpool

Derby County
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
Blackpool
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Blackpool
1-3
Derby
Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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