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Championship header 2

League One
Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Derby logo

Blackpool
1 - 3
Derby

Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 1-1 Derby County

 With Blackpool and Derby separated by just one point in the league table, we expect Tuesday's contest to produce a close-fought affair, which may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
34.67% (-0.218 -0.22) 26.95% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.39% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.297 -0.3)54.25% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.247 -0.25)75.65% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (-0.283 -0.28)29.72% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (-0.346 -0.35)65.78% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.48% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)62.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 34.67%
    Derby County 38.38%
    Draw 26.95%
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Derby

Blackpool
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Derby County
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
Blackpool
0-1
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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