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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Cambridge United

Stevenage
1 - 0
Cambridge

Roberts (35')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cousins (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Cambridge United

Stevenage will be feeling a whole lot better following the win over Wycombe on Saturday, and the visit of Cambridge represents a real opportunity for the Boro to burst into the top six. The U's appear to be going nowhere quick under the interim management of Corr, so we are expecting a third-straight loss for United on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawCambridge United
55.62% (0.166 0.17) 23.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.106 0.11)72.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.107 0.11)17.85% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.179 0.18)48.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.038 -0.04)75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.61%
    Cambridge United 20.62%
    Draw 23.75%
StevenageDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Cambridge

Stevenage
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Cambridge United
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
1-2
Stevenage
Kachunga (80')
Roberts (27'), Reid (82')
Thompson (32'), Butler (68'), Reid (83')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
List (40')
Vancooten (13'), Reeves (38')

Masterson (62'), Weir (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cambridge
0-1
Stevenage

Knoyle (71')
Norris (63')
Dec 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
Carter (22')

May (48'), Darling (62')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cambridge
0-4
Stevenage

Knoyle (23'), O'Neil (39'), Lewis (90')
List (36'), Cassidy (59'), Carter (87'), Lakin (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth432613472373591
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton432410979463382
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough422381180552577
5Barnsley4321121077572075
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4321101276532373
7Blackpool4420101460431770
8Lincoln CityLincoln4318141162372568
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
13Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe421413155352155
15Bristol Rovers43159195164-1354
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge421210203858-2046
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43137233161-3046
20Burton Albion431110223560-2543
21Port Vale431010234070-3040
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham42108243560-2538
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood43813224468-2437
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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