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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
19.94% ( -0.14) | 24.41% ( -0.13) | 55.65% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.57% ( 0.31) | 53.43% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.04% ( 0.26) | 74.96% ( -0.26) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.59% ( 0.03) | 41.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.08% ( 0.03) | 77.92% ( -0.03) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( 0.22) | 19.1% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% ( 0.37) | 50.72% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 19.94% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |