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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Carlisle
1 - 3
Wycombe

McCalmont (28')
Neal (4'), Dudik (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCleary (15', 75'), Kone (49')
Botts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers

 With relegation already confirmed, Wycombe are cruising towards the season's end, and we are expecting another limp performance from the Cumbrians on the weekend. The Chairboys are continuing to push on following their EFL Trophy heartbreak earlier in the month, and we reckon that they will pick up a third straight win at Brunton Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
21.72% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 54.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.65% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.72%
    Wycombe Wanderers 54.08%
    Draw 24.18%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.08%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wycombe

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wycombe Wanderers
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wycombe
2-0
Carlisle
Leahy (40' pen.), Vokes (74')
Stryjek (54'), Forino-Joseph (65')

Moxon (17')
Andresson (29')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Wycombe
4-3
Carlisle
Bloomfield (28'), O'Nien (31'), Cowan-Hall (90'), Bean (90')
O'Nien (48')
Grainger (49' pen.), Devitt (68'), Stockton (70')
Parkes (22'), Bonham (61'), Twardek (72')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
3-3
Wycombe
Lambe (4', 84'), Devitt (38' pen.)
Saunders (45'), Akinfenwa (72'), Cowan-Hall (90')
Saunders (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Wycombe
1-2
Carlisle
Akinfenwa (2')
Saunders (76')
Proctor (9'), Lambe (34')
O'Sullivan (20'), Liddle (79'), Jones (82')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Wycombe
Miller (57')
Jones (64')

Jombarti (12'), Harriman (71'), Stewart (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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