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Wycombe Wanderers
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Port Vale
1 - 2
Wycombe

Chislett (47')
Ikpeazu (85'), Massey (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wheeler (4'), Lonwijk (86')
Lonwijk (43'), Grimmer (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers

Although Port Vale have lost their last two home games against Wycombe, they did take a point off the Chairboys in December's reverse fixture at Adams Park. With the teams currently level on 30 points, we think that two closely-matched sides will play out a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawWycombe Wanderers
38.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 26.92% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47%75.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 38.24%
    Wycombe Wanderers 34.84%
    Draw 26.91%
Port ValeDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Wycombe

Port Vale
36.6%
Draw
22.0%
Wycombe Wanderers
41.5%
41
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Wycombe
1-1
Port Vale
Sadlier (51')
Vokes (62'), Scowen (64'), Phillips (82'), Taylor (86'), Taylor (88'), Leahy (89')
Wilson (90')
Smith (57')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Port Vale
0-3
Wycombe
Hanlan (13'), Jacobson (79' pen.), McCleary (82')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Wycombe
2-2
Port Vale
Mehmeti (4'), Wing (61')
Wilson (45+7'), Conlon (77')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Wycombe
0-0
Port Vale
Freeman (49'), Akinfenwa (59'), Bean (81')
Worrall (56'), Howkins (82')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
2-3
Wycombe
Turner (88'), Whitfield (90')
Kay (77')
Akinfenwa (2', 25'), Cowan-Hall (12')
Brown (50')
rhs 2.0
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