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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.1% (![]() | 22.93% (![]() | 20.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.84% (![]() | 46.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% (![]() | 68.46% (![]() |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.73% (![]() | 16.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% (![]() | 45.81% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.06% (![]() | 72.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.86% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 53 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
8 | Reading | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 40 |
12 | Stevenage | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 40 |
13 | Blackpool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 26 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 24 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |