League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Derby
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 3-1 Shrewsbury Town
Although Derby lost out to Shrewsbury in the reverse fixture, we expect the Rams to prove too strong for their opponents in Saturday's contest, especially as they have won seven of their last nine home league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
74.64% ( -0.04) | 16.26% ( 0.02) | 9.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
