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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Derby
1 - 1
Shrewsbury

Bird (54')
Hourihane (67'), Adams (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pierre (87')
Winchester (36'), Pierre (82'), Benning (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Derby
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Although Derby lost out to Shrewsbury in the reverse fixture, we expect the Rams to prove too strong for their opponents in Saturday's contest, especially as they have won seven of their last nine home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
74.64% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 16.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 9.11% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)41.34% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)9.49% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)31.84% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.79% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.2% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)84.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 74.63%
    Shrewsbury Town 9.11%
    Draw 16.26%
Derby CountyDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.21%
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 6.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 74.63%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.26%
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 9.11%

How you voted: Derby vs Shrewsbury

Derby County
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Shrewsbury Town
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Shrewsbury
1-0
Derby
Hourihane (56' og.)
Flanagan (86')

Nelson (86'), Bradley (90+6')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Derby
2-2
Shrewsbury
Roberts (20'), McGoldrick (45+1')
Bayliss (49'), Leahy (72' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-0
Derby
Bayliss (75'), Flanagan (77'), Nurse (88')
Knight (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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