League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Charlton0 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Derby County
Derby have tended to enjoy themselves on their travels this season, and we think that they will produce another successful away performance when they face a Charlton side low on confidence following an 11-game winless league run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
25.13% ( 0.61) | 22.76% ( 0.13) | 52.11% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
