We said: Derby County 2-0 Stevenage
Derby flexed their attacking power in the win at Exeter on Tuesday night, and we believe that it could be a similar tale at Pride Park this weekend.
Stevenage's confidence would have taken a massive hit after wasting a two-goal lead last time out, with Pride Park not a likely place for the Boro to get back to winning ways.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).