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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham


Williams (45'), Rowe (45'), Nevitt (85')
Cooney (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (24'), Mullin (45+1'), Cannon (61')
McClean (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-3 Wrexham

 Crewe need the points much more than their opponents at this point in this season as they are still looking to secure a place in the playoffs. However, the recent form of the hosts has been poor, and that is something that Wrexham could take advantage of as they prepare for life in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
28.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.41%46.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.41%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 28.62%
    Wrexham 46.98%
    Draw 24.41%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.98%

How you voted: Crewe vs Wrexham

Crewe Alexandra
18.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wrexham
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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