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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.98% ( -0.11) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 40.34% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.93% ( 0.07) | 49.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( 0.07) | 71.14% ( -0.06) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.04) | 63.15% ( 0.04) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( 0.14) | 58.31% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
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