MX23RW : Monday, March 10 11:12:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Port Vale

Swindon
3 - 3
Port Vale

Wright (20' pen.), Butterworth (45'), Cotterill (63')
Cain (57')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Headley (31'), Tolaj (40', 87')
John (49'), Heneghan (56'), Smith (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Port Vale

Both sides come into the game in good form, and their league positions are not representative of the levels the teams are currently operating at. While Port Vale will be desperate to keep up with their promotion rivals, they will likely have to make do with just a single point this weekend as Swindon are sure to make the clash a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
40.05% (0.055 0.05) 26.37% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 33.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (0.058 0.06)52.07% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.8% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.054999999999993 0.05)25.55% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.04%
    Port Vale 33.57%
    Draw 26.37%
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.57%

How you voted: Swindon vs Port Vale

Swindon Town
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Port Vale
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Port Vale
2-1
Swindon
Byers (61'), Cover (85')
Garrity (59'), Sang (87'), Byers (90')
Wright (89')
Cotterill (90+4')
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Swindon
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties)
Wilson (8')
Wilson (42'), Pett (59')

Iandolo (56'), Conroy (95'), McKirdy (120+1')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Swindon
2-1
Port Vale
McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!