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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park
Northampton Town

Tranmere
0 - 1
Northampton


Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (5')
Hylton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

 Tranmere have been very disappointing all season, most recently drawing 1-1 away at 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon, and Dawes has not performed well in the role of interim manager. As such, we expect the visitors to get over the line and secure promotion back to the third tier with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 37.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.141 0.14)59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.107 0.11)80.15% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)32.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.052 0.05)69.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.119 0.12)30.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 34.32%
    Northampton Town 37.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Northampton

Tranmere Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Northampton
0-0
Tranmere

Briston (25')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Northampton
3-2
Tranmere
Horsfall (29', 37'), Pinnock (66')
Horsfall (72'), Lubala (90+3')
McPake (75'), Hemmings (88' pen.)
McManaman (12'), McPake (68'), O'Connor (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Tranmere
0-2
Northampton

Spearing (72')
Etete (52'), Hoskins (68' pen.)
Lewis (43'), Koiki (58'), Hoskins (86')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Tranmere
1-2
Northampton
Norwood (25')
Hoskins (2', 45')
O'Toole (67'), Pierre (83'), Facey (87')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 6
Northampton
1-1
Tranmere
Morias (61')
Norwood (51')
Banks (86'), Jennings (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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