Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.