Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.