Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.