Toluca

4 - 1

Club Leon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.