Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
21.84% ( 0.1) | 23.25% ( 0.06) | 54.91% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -0.15) | 46.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -0.14) | 68.79% ( 0.14) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.48% ( 0.02) | 35.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% ( 0.02) | 72.28% ( -0.01) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.11) | 16.81% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% ( -0.19) | 46.79% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |