Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.52% (![]() | 20.06% (![]() | 17.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.34% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.04% (![]() | 60.96% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% (![]() | 11.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.9% (![]() | 37.09% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% | 35.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% | 72.31% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 4.05% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 9.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.8% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |