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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Montpellier
Nantes
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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Montpellier

PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier

Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have kept their back door bolted shut more often than not in recent weeks, but over the past six years, PSG have always found a way through the Paillade backline on more than one occasion, and Friday's encounter should be no different. An in-form Adams is certainly capable of denying the hosts a fifth straight clean sheet at home, but Enrique's own effervescent forwards should fire their team to the top of the table - at least temporarily - on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
62.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 20.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)11.84% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9% (0.023000000000003 0.02)37.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.52%
    Montpellier HSC 17.41%
    Draw 20.06%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.41%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
89.0%
Draw
6.0%
Montpellier HSC
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
May 12, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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