Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
We said: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre
While Le Havre have reason to be confident heading into this contest, respect must be given to the home side who have only lost out to free-scoring Marseille. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge this encounter, kick-starting their season in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
41.24% ( -0.31) | 27.75% ( 0.15) | 31.01% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
