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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes
3 - 1
Bastia

Jung (27' pen., 53'), Knockaert (61')
Knockaert (20'), Kantari (21'), Jung (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okou (8')
Bohnert (34'), Keita (57'), Alfarela (68')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 3-1 Valenciennes
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-2 Caen
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawBastia
37.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.25% (0.0020000000000024 0) 34.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)66.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 37.62%
    Bastia 34.12%
    Draw 28.25%
ValenciennesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Bastia
3-0
Valenciennes
Lienard (40'), Santelli (77'), Vincent (90+5')

Masson (51'), Linguet (82')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Valenciennes
2-2
Bastia
Grbic (25', 48')
Magri (4', 69')
Dec 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 17
Bastia
1-0
Valenciennes
Drame (78')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajaccio00000000
2AmiensAmiens00000000
3Annecy00000000
4Bastia00000000
5Bordeaux00000000
6Caen00000000
7Clermont00000000
8DunkerqueDunkerque00000000
9Grenoble00000000
10GuingampGuingamp00000000
11Laval00000000
12Lorient00000000
13Martigues00000000
14Metz00000000
15Paris FCParis FC00000000
16PauPau00000000
17 00000000
18Rodez AFRodez AF00000000


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