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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

If Giakoumakis does not feature, it will be a blow for the home side, however they have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon besides the Greek, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done. All good things must come to an end, and although the Union will likely keep this match close, we expect to see a fast-paced game on the artificial turf, which should favour the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.11% (-0.134 -0.13) 23.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.87% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.094999999999999 0.09)42.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.093999999999994 0.09)64.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)16.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.154 0.15)30.55% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (0.183 0.18)66.77% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.11%
    Philadelphia Union 24.87%
    Draw 23.02%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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