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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

If Giakoumakis does not feature, it will be a blow for the home side, however they have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon besides the Greek, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done. All good things must come to an end, and although the Union will likely keep this match close, we expect to see a fast-paced game on the artificial turf, which should favour the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.11% (-0.134 -0.13) 23.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.87% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.094999999999999 0.09)42.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.093999999999994 0.09)64.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)16.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.154 0.15)30.55% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (0.183 0.18)66.77% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.11%
    Philadelphia Union 24.87%
    Draw 23.02%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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