We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Columbus Crew
Despite starting favourites to take three points home from Miami, Columbus Crew have won just two from nine on the road so far in 2023 - conceding plenty of goals in the process. So, after a spirited performance helped Inter pick up a point at the weekend, they can defy expectation and repeat that feat on Tuesday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.