Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
